Seasonality Bias
Historical seasonal tendencies for major indices, top ETFs, and all 11 S&P 500 sectors. Use as a background confluence — not a standalone signal.
Monthly Bias Heatmap — Nasdaq (US100)
Sep — Nasdaq (US100)
Strong BearHistorically the weakest month. Tax-loss harvesting, fund rebalancing.
Seasonality is a background bias. Always confirm with structure, yields, and liquidity before entering a trade.
Confluence Ranking — Nasdaq (US100)
Bond Yield Context
| Scenario | Nasdaq | Gold | USD (DXY) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Yields Rising | Bearish | Bearish | Bullish |
| Yields Falling | Bullish | Bullish | Bearish |
| Yields Stable | Neutral | Neutral | Neutral |
Seasonal yield peaks often occur in Q1 (Fed expectations) and Q3/Q4 (Treasury issuance and growth expectations).
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